So tomorrow there is a poll in the Independent by Communicate Research that gives the Conservatives their biggest leads for quite literally years of 13%. The figure that is causing shock and conseternation though is the Labour one which has them on just 27%. The headlines figures are Conservatives 40%, Labour 27%, Lib Dems 18%.
Perosnally I never trust the polls because I always remember 1992. What people tell the pollster and what they actually end up doing seem to be two very different things. However, for amusement and interest I trhough the figures into Electoral Calculus. Apparently, if it happened that way the Conservatives would ahve a 64 majority. More interesting still was that Alistair Darling, Charkles Clarke, John Hutton and Jon Cruddas amongst many others would all lose thier seats.
4 comments:
1992 may be relevant for another reason, which might point the other way: the Tories tend to do better than polls indicate, and the Socialists worse. If that is the case, we could be on track for a three figure majority, despite our biased electoral system.
Or maybe not.
Poor old Alistair, seems to be a run of losing things.
Opinion polls almost invariably give the socialist scum a higher percentage than they get in a real proper (secret ballot) election.
Thats because us tories are evil and socialist lefties are nice so a lot of us tories apparently lie and say we will vote scum, probably in an attempt to chat up the nice leftie girl doing the survey.
I understand from some pollsters that this effect tends to give labour 5% more in opinion polls than they actually get. Which if true now is the best fucking news I've had since 1997! Cyclops is fucked!! :D
Zorro
What I'd love to see is Labour knocked into third place behind the Lib-Dems. 9 points to go!
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