Conventional wisdom was that returning to 12 year lows on the Dow was a buy signal - that line in the sand got blown away. A 2/3rds drop should do the trick ie another about 15-20%. Ouch. Or a 90% drop to about 1500 on the Dow. The PE on the S&P was about 17.5, now about 10.4 - massively cheap in historic terms, but it probably needs to be in the 7-8 area before the cash will materialise to buy. That implies a further 25+% fall in the S&P. Or the Dow down to about 4,500. Which is about the 2/rds drop mentioned above. Hmmmmmmm... PS WV = MENDA....
Via dshort
Ohhhhh, shit....
ReplyDeleteOuch!
ReplyDeleteThis is a big one. Luckily we have it on good authority that it will have ended in Britain in 116 days time.
Would be nice to lock this Government in a room until they understood it. Might never come out of course!
ReplyDeleteNow that has depressed me even further; thanks.
ReplyDeleteConventional wisdom was that returning to 12 year lows on the Dow was a buy signal - that line in the sand got blown away.
ReplyDeleteA 2/3rds drop should do the trick ie another about 15-20%.
Ouch.
Or a 90% drop to about 1500 on the Dow.
The PE on the S&P was about 17.5, now about 10.4 - massively cheap in historic terms, but it probably needs to be in the 7-8 area before the cash will materialise to buy.
That implies a further 25+% fall in the S&P.
Or the Dow down to about 4,500.
Which is about the 2/rds drop mentioned above.
Hmmmmmmm...
PS WV = MENDA....
Reminds me of some of the early work of our national treasure(?) artist Tracey Emin!
ReplyDeleteTell us something we didn't already know, or expect. : (
ReplyDeleteYou watch the Government will blame the USA on all of these as well
ReplyDelete