Blue line - Tory Government opinion poll tracker 1992-97 Red line - Labour Government opinion poll tracker 2005-08 Hat Tip: The Fink
5 comments:
Anonymous
said...
Hmm, yeah interesting. Other than the blip where the relevant polls were not correlated, presumably when Brown was [not] elected the dear leader, the Labour government can expect to improve their rating slightly from here until the GE, but then be totally trounced by Cameroon. Even Clegg won't get one over by trying to be kingmaker of some sort. The question then will be if DC gets a double or triple digit majority.
If the trend continues there will at some point be a mini improvement in Labour's ratings, there has to be doesn't there? The big question will be how the media portrays a narrowing of the Conservative poll lead. Will the lazy hacks, desperate for a new narrative, change the story to the big Labour fightback? A lead of "just" 12% would statistically warrant a headline of "Tories' poll lead halved as Brown welcomes Michael Jackson, Harrison Ford and Gareth Gates for tea at Number 10."
Hat Tip: The Fink
5 comments:
Hmm, yeah interesting. Other than the blip where the relevant polls were not correlated, presumably when Brown was [not] elected the dear leader, the Labour government can expect to improve their rating slightly from here until the GE, but then be totally trounced by Cameroon. Even Clegg won't get one over by trying to be kingmaker of some sort. The question then will be if DC gets a double or triple digit majority.
You read it here first folks!
Ed
If you re-use this graph next month you may need to redraw the vertical axis to show 10% or less.
If the trend continues there will at some point be a mini improvement in Labour's ratings, there has to be doesn't there? The big question will be how the media portrays a narrowing of the Conservative poll lead. Will the lazy hacks, desperate for a new narrative, change the story to the big Labour fightback? A lead of "just" 12% would statistically warrant a headline of "Tories' poll lead halved as Brown welcomes Michael Jackson, Harrison Ford and Gareth Gates for tea at Number 10."
Fascinating, Dizzy. Will link to it.
anon: I think Dorothy should be careful asking Michael Jackson round.....
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